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Post by miscmisc on Oct 31, 2020 6:12:17 GMT 1
It's a crappy Halloween this year no doubt, and that's exactly why we should just take a deep sigh, sit down and just enjoy this greatest tweet of all time:
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Post by miscmisc on Oct 31, 2020 6:21:26 GMT 1
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Post by miscmisc on Oct 31, 2020 6:39:53 GMT 1
A thread:
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Post by miscmisc on Oct 31, 2020 7:07:55 GMT 1
I've been saying we're going to see the light at the end of the tunnel next year. We won't immediately be at the exit, of course not. It'll take some time. But it will be within our sight.
That's exactly why we must save as many lives as possible this winter. There should be no room for lazy fatalism and masturbatory resignation.
We will throw a kitchen sink. We'll think about the rest later. Just save lives.
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Post by miscmisc on Oct 31, 2020 13:19:19 GMT 1
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Post by miscmisc on Oct 31, 2020 14:05:03 GMT 1
It seems almost as if home parties are responsible for half the infections.
There are so many infections that can be traced back to home parties at some point that it's utterly ridiculous.
I've never been a home party guy, so it's doubly frustrating.
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Post by miscmisc on Oct 31, 2020 14:27:29 GMT 1
I still can't figure out why the time lag between new cases and deaths has been so short in Belgium.
The new cases shot up very quickly in October, and then the deaths almost immediately followed suit. Completely different from Spain, France etc.
The surge started a lot earlier in the Netherlands than in Belgium, but the deaths curve has been much less steep there. The health care system in the Netherlands is probably better than Belgium's, but not by THAT much.
I don't know what to make of it. They were hit particularly hard in the first wave, and now this again. It seems almost like there's something unique about Belgians that make them more vulnerable to this virus than others.
Yes, Covid-19 is pretty random, but what's up with this awful consistency about Belgians vs. Covid-19?
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Post by miscmisc on Oct 31, 2020 19:39:50 GMT 1
Japan is the best example to show how well masks work because: 1) The mask-wearing rates are extremely high (nearly 100% in public spaces); 2) The measures are looser/softer and the infection rates/case count significantly higher than the East Asian average.
Because of 2), you get a lot of clusters, which means you get a lot of samples to build a theory on.
An overwhelming majority of those clusters occur in the kind of situations where you have to be maskless for an extended period of time. You almost never have a cluster where people are wearing masks pretty much at all times even if the space is fairly crowded.
It's just very, very obvious from the data.
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Post by miscmisc on Oct 31, 2020 23:30:24 GMT 1
Italy is similar to Belgium. The surge began very recently over there, but deaths are already up there.
And a plurality of the new cases are in Lombardy. AGAIN.
Yes, it's mainly Milan this time instead of Bergamo etc. But Milan did have a high infection rate back in April too.
The same regions/countries keep getting hit hard.
So much for partial immunity. I also flirted with the theory that the required immunity level is in actuality far lower than generally suggested, but the examples in the second wave, from all over the world, all but killed that theory, I think.
New York? VERY strict measures/policies, and the city hasn't gotten back even to a semi-normal activity level for months. Bad example.
And so much for herd immunity as a strategy, too, of course. How many people would you be willing to kill for that?
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Post by K1power on Nov 1, 2020 1:02:03 GMT 1
It seems almost as if home parties are responsible for half the infections. There are so many infections that can be traced back to home parties at some point that it's utterly ridiculous. I've never been a home party guy, so it's doubly frustrating. Took out the trash a couple hours ago and first thing I heard was a home party taking place further down the street. The sounds of loud ass Dancehall music with a screaming drunk chick trying to sing along were dead giveaways lol. This neighborhood's really been going down the crapper in the past few years. To be fair get togethers of - I believe - up to 4 people are still allowed over here, but I wonder if they really maintained that limit. Either way any kind of partying during these times annoys me. What also really annoys me is how most of my friends aren't taking this thing as seriously as they should. Or at least not seriously enough to show a little discipline. Meeting up with each other (in public places/at home) like there's no tomorrow. As if a lack of physical socializing will kill them dead. I guess during these times it helps that I'm a bit of a loner who doesn't really like people. And people's behaviour specifically during this pandemic has done little other than further solidify my distaste for them. |
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Post by K1power on Nov 1, 2020 1:07:52 GMT 1
So yeah, I'm almost certain everyone in my office got infected. My family likely got infected as well. I hope nobody develops any serious symptoms. Be safe and extra vigilant. |
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Post by miscmisc on Nov 1, 2020 9:01:22 GMT 1
It seems almost as if home parties are responsible for half the infections. There are so many infections that can be traced back to home parties at some point that it's utterly ridiculous. I've never been a home party guy, so it's doubly frustrating. Took out the trash a couple hours ago and first thing I heard was a home party taking place further down the street. The sounds of loud ass Dancehall music with a screaming drunk chick trying to sing along were dead giveaways lol. This neighborhood's really been going down the crapper in the past few years. To be fair get togethers of - I believe - up to 4 people are still allowed over here, but I wonder if they really maintained that limit. Either way any kind of partying during these times annoys me. What also really annoys me is how most of my friends aren't taking this thing as seriously as they should. Or at least not seriously enough to show a little discipline. Meeting up with each other (in public places/at home) like there's no tomorrow. As if a lack of physical socializing will kill them dead. I guess during these times it helps that I'm a bit of a loner who doesn't really like people. And people's behaviour specifically during this pandemic has done little other than further solidify my distaste for them. At the end of the day, there's nothing we can do about it, but one wonders sometimes, you know. I wish they had some semblance of care, just a little bit of it, enough to make some effort to limit their contacts to less vulnerable ones at least. It's pretty clear from the data that many of them didn't even bother. They casually spread it to their elderly neighbors and even their parents. As far as I'm concerned, this second wave in Europe wasn't inevitable at all. My tone would be different if I thought it was. It was very clearly caused largely by the utter carelessness of the population. There's no point in doing a blame game like that at this point, but I'd categorically reject any kind of fatalism. And of course, they genuinely thought it was pretty much over. They thought their society was largely immune already, or at least gradually getting there. The term "herd immunity" in all languages was trending online like crazy for all summer in Europe, even more than in the US. |
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Post by miscmisc on Nov 1, 2020 14:59:00 GMT 1
Again, the dumbest person in US politics.
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Post by miscmisc on Nov 1, 2020 15:15:26 GMT 1
And imagine being an obtuse moron who thinks this is some profound insight.
The dumbest American "writer".
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Post by miscmisc on Nov 1, 2020 15:31:52 GMT 1
You shouldn't overrate population density as a factor, but that doesn't mean it doesn't matter. Of course it does, as the virus spreads through human contacts. So, this is a great achievement by the Dakotas.  These two states boasted the lowest mask-wearing rates in the US. |
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